Vote.
Today.
If you haven't already.
* Yes, I'm very American-centric with this demand.
Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
Thursday, May 15, 2008
Godwin's Law and President Obama
Congrats to President Obama the Republican Party has just invoked Godwin's in their opening salvo.
They lose.
The election is cancel the swearing in will be in January.
They lose.
The election is cancel the swearing in will be in January.
Labels:
Barack Obama,
elections,
general election,
Godwin's Law
Wednesday, January 2, 2008
Iowa Caucus.
I have done a reasoned analysis, crunched the numbers, sensed the winds, viewed the future through the eyes of a cold calculation, looking at massive amounts of data in order to bring you a fantastic prediction about what the Iowa Caucus will bring.
John Edwards will win. His victory will swell the ground game and cause a domino effect sapping strength from the message of Obama (see message of Edwards) putting him into a head to head contest in the national race against Hillary Clinton for the nomination. He will win the nomination and choose Obama to be his running mate (Hillary will be Chief of Staff). A few months prior to the general election, Edwards' wife will tragically die of metastatic breast cancer. The Republicans will debate continuing on their negative message, and despite the fact that only a callous bastard would do such a thing they will continue. Romney's presidential bid will fail, not as a result (he was already down 20 points in the polls at this point anyhow) but it certainly didn't help. And Edwards will be elected with 64% of the vote, to Romney's 30%, with Ron Paul's independent campaign pulling in 7%.
What statistics suggest such a thing? How could I be this impressive with my tabulations of the future? Mostly, I pulled it out of my ass. Heck I had to look up the Iowa Caucus to know it was on the third. Of course I could just say that you have your math and I have THE MATH! -- But, only an ass would do such a thing. In all seriousness I hope Edwards wins the nod. Mostly because I want a slam dunk and kind of want the Dems to pick up several additional senate seats. Think Hillary-hate might drive out the vote on the Republican side, even in states where they stand no chance at winning, costing some minor races their wins. That said, she'd win the general. Heck Kucinich would win the general.
Here's another prediction two years out. The Governator becomes the Senatator defeating Boxer, and Vitter is sunk, both in 2010.
John Edwards will win. His victory will swell the ground game and cause a domino effect sapping strength from the message of Obama (see message of Edwards) putting him into a head to head contest in the national race against Hillary Clinton for the nomination. He will win the nomination and choose Obama to be his running mate (Hillary will be Chief of Staff). A few months prior to the general election, Edwards' wife will tragically die of metastatic breast cancer. The Republicans will debate continuing on their negative message, and despite the fact that only a callous bastard would do such a thing they will continue. Romney's presidential bid will fail, not as a result (he was already down 20 points in the polls at this point anyhow) but it certainly didn't help. And Edwards will be elected with 64% of the vote, to Romney's 30%, with Ron Paul's independent campaign pulling in 7%.
What statistics suggest such a thing? How could I be this impressive with my tabulations of the future? Mostly, I pulled it out of my ass. Heck I had to look up the Iowa Caucus to know it was on the third. Of course I could just say that you have your math and I have THE MATH! -- But, only an ass would do such a thing. In all seriousness I hope Edwards wins the nod. Mostly because I want a slam dunk and kind of want the Dems to pick up several additional senate seats. Think Hillary-hate might drive out the vote on the Republican side, even in states where they stand no chance at winning, costing some minor races their wins. That said, she'd win the general. Heck Kucinich would win the general.
Here's another prediction two years out. The Governator becomes the Senatator defeating Boxer, and Vitter is sunk, both in 2010.
Tuesday, October 2, 2007
Ironic Quote of the Day: Frederick Douglass
I am a Republican, a black, dyed in the wool Republican, and I never intend to belong to any other party than the party of freedom and progress. - Frederick Douglass
There's little doubt that that quote is utter bizarre when we look at the Republican party of the day. There has been a rather odd switch in party loyalty over the years. The positions of Republicans like Lincoln and Douglass are now only found within the Democratic party and the traditional Democratic party positions are the staple of modern Republican party. It's a sad monument that the party of Lincoln died in the south. There had been a number of shifts over the 20th century and finally sealed the fate in 1963 with the Civil Rights Act, that's when the Democratic party lost the south, and in an odd twist took every position as the party of Lincoln.
House vote:
* Southern Democrats: 7-87 (7%-93%)
* Southern Republicans: 0-10 (0%-100%)
* Northern Democrats: 145-9 (94%-6%)
* Northern Republicans: 138-24 (85%-15%)
Over the next several years, the parties just flipped over. And in the 1994 slaughter-fest, the Democrats lost the south completely. And in 2006 the Republicans lost what bit of the NE they still had. Though, there are senators in Maine still and perhaps a straggler or two.
The supporters of the party of Lincoln would be the first to vote against Bush.
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